NASCENT-PERU
NAture-positive SCenarios for ENvironmental Transitions: Peru
The NASCENT-PERU project is centered around developing normative, nature positive scenarios for future landscape development in Peru and assessing their impacts on land use and land cover (LULC), biodiversity, and ecosystem services (BES) from 2020 to 2060. The scenarios will be developed through an inclusive participatory process with a cross-section of Peruvian stakeholders, employing the IPBES Nature Futures Framework to encourage a shift beyond typical exploratory trends such as ‘Business as Usual’ to envisage future landscapes that meet the needs of society, support cultural values and preserve nature. Building upon the approach of the ValPar.CH project, quantitative simulation modelling along with economic analysis will be leveraged to identify trade-offs and synergies in BES outcomes, to inform an ongoing dialogue regarding the desirability and feasibility of the different scenario goals.
Team
ETH Zurich
Prof. Dr. Adrienne Grêt-Regamey
Prof. Dr. Loïc Pellissier
Benjamin Black
Chenyu Shen
Manuel Kurmann
Wyss Academy for Nature
external pageProf. Dr. Edouard Davincall_made
external pageProf. Dr. Armando Valdés-Velásquezcall_made
external pageDr. Jan Göpelcall_made
external pageMiguel Saraviacall_made
Université de Lausanne
external pageProf. Dr. Antoine Guisancall_made
Université Grenoble Alpes
external pageDr. Ignacio Palomocall_made
Financing
The project is funded as part of the Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Scenario modelling challenge financed by the external pageSwiss Re Foundationcall_made, external pageSwiss Re Institutecall_made, external pageSwiss Re Corporate Solutionscall_made, external pageEYcall_made, external pageWWFcall_made and the external pageAXA Research Fundcall_made.
Project outputs
Research data and code will be shared in accordance with the FAIR standard through Zenodo and external pageGithubcall_made.
Duration
October 2023 to December 2025
Contact
Benjamin Black ETH Zurich, PLUS